Friday, August 31, 2018

RESULTS: 2018 Summer Box Office Predictions


While I'm happy to have my best summer box office prediction year on record, it's depressing that there is not a single non-sequel film on the top ten! The only big shocker this year - in my opinion - is how Solo: A Star Wars Story under-performed. Its relatively low opening for the franchise is interesting to consider. Are people getting sick of Star Wars? Were people turned off by a different actor playing Han Solo? Or was it released in too crowded a season, between The Avengers and Deadpool? Besides that the usual suspects (Marvel, Pixar, Dinosaurs) all made out great, making this a particularly unsurprising year!

Here are my final results:


Points System:
- 13 points for getting 1 or 10 exactly correct
- 10 points for getting 2-9 exactly correct
- 7 points if movie was one spot away
- 5 points if movie was two spots away
- 3 points if movie was anywhere the top ten
- 1 point for each dark horse (pick three)

My Predictions:

1. Avengers: Infinity War +13
2. Incredibles 2 +10
3. Solo: A Star Wars Story +5
4. Jurassic World 2 +7
5. Deadpool 2 +7
6. Mission: Impossible 6 +7
7. Ant-Man and the Wasp +7
8. Ocean's 8 +7
9. Hotel Transylvania 3 +7
10. Mamma Mia 2 +13
.
Actual (Domestic):

1. Avengers: Infinity War - $678.7M
2. Incredibles 2 - $597.6M
3. Jurassic World 2 - $413.2M 
4. Deadpool 2 - $318.4M     
5. Solo: A Star Wars Story - $213.6M
6. Ant-Man and the Wasp - $212M
7. Mission: Impossible 6 - $196.6M
8. Hotel Transylvania 3 - $159.6M
9. Ocean's 8 - $139M
10. Mamma Mia 2 - $116.2M
*Data from Box Office Mojo (as of 8-31-18)


Dark Horses:
The Happytime Murders
Skyscraper
Uncle Drew

TOTAL: 83

Stats:
2013: 47
2014: 60
2015: 41
2016: 55
2017: 49
2018: 83
Batting Avg: 56

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